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Example analysis. Real output, not a mockup.

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Job offer

Whether to accept a competing offer with a higher title and pay, or stay at my current company where I have equity vesting and strong relationships.

Taking the new offer likely aligns better with your stated priorities. Compensation growth, scope, and learning. If you are willing to accept the risk of forfeiting unvested equity and the unknowns of a new manager.

What mattered

Matters most: Compensation growth, scope of responsibility, learning

Worries most: Unvested equity I'd forfeit, unproven manager at the new company

Time horizon: 1-2 years

Constraints: 50% of my equity grant is still unvested

The futures

Career Acceleration Outpaces Lost Equity

Prioritizes rapid compensation and scope growth, gives up equity and trusted relationships.

Immediate compensation and scope for forfeited equity and relational capital.

Compounding Trust and Equity Over Growth

Prioritizes stability and retained equity, gives up faster compensation and scope expansion.

Short-term stability and potential equity upside for slower compensation and career acceleration.

De-Risking Growth: Build Leverage Before Leaping

Prioritizes optionality and information gathering, gives up short-term action for strategic patience.

Delays compensation and scope bump, but reduces the risk of a bad move or lost equity.

What would flip this

If your current company’s equity value jumps sharply in the next 12-18 months, staying becomes the higher-upside choice.

If you discover credible red flags about the new manager or culture, the risk of switching outweighs the compensation bump.

If the new role’s scope is less than promised, the perceived growth and learning advantage disappears.